Zimbabwe’s 2024/25 Rainfall Forecast: A Bright Outlook for Farmers

As Zimbabwe approaches the 2024/2025 rainy season, the Meteorological Services Department, in conjunction with the Ministry of Environment, Climate, and Wildlife, has unveiled an encouraging rainfall forecast. This assessment, based on the Southern Africa Regional Climate Outlook Forum (SARCOF-29) held in Harare, outlines a generally positive trajectory for the upcoming season, promising substantial benefits for the agricultural sector and beyond.

The forecast, which covers the period from October 2024 to March 2025, is divided into four distinct sub-seasons: October-November-December (OND), November-December-January (NDJ), December-January-February (DJF), and January-February-March (JFM). Each segment of the season presents unique opportunities and challenges, with a trend towards favorable conditions in the latter parts of the season.

October-November-December (OND) 2024

For the initial sub-season of October through December, the forecast predicts normal to below-normal rainfall. While this indicates a potentially slower start to the rainy season, it provides an opportunity for farmers to prepare and strategize. By utilizing this period for early land preparation and strategic irrigation, farmers can set the stage for a successful growing season. This initial phase offers a chance to manage early planting carefully and adjust irrigation practices to maximize the effectiveness of the incoming rains.

November-December-January (NDJ) 2024/2025

The outlook for the November to January period is notably positive, with expectations of normal to above-normal rainfall. This is a critical window for crop growth, as improved rainfall during this time will support healthy plant development and soil moisture levels. Farmers can anticipate a more robust growing environment, which will enhance crop yields and contribute to overall agricultural success.

December-January-February (DJF) 2024/2025

The December through February sub-season is projected to bring normal to above-normal rainfall across Zimbabwe. This period is crucial for sustaining crops through their vital growth stages and ensuring sufficient water for irrigation. The expected rainfall during this time will bolster crop health and productivity, making it an ideal period for maximizing agricultural output.

January-February-March (JFM) 2025

Looking ahead to January through March, the forecast remains optimistic with normal to above-normal rainfall expected. This continuation of favorable conditions will help secure the successful maturation of crops and ensure that water resources are adequately replenished. Farmers can expect a strong finish to the rainy season, which will support both the final stages of crop growth and preparation for subsequent planting cycles.

Implications and Recommendations for Farmers

The overall forecast for the 2024/2025 rainy season is highly encouraging, with the latter parts of the season expected to deliver significant benefits. Farmers are advised to take the following steps to make the most of these favorable conditions:

• Early Preparation: Use the initial sub-season to prepare land and plan for irrigation, ensuring a strong start once rainfall increases.
• Strategic Irrigation: Implement irrigation where needed to supplement water during periods of below-normal rainfall and maintain optimal growing conditions.
• Contingency Planning: Develop and maintain contingency plans for potential extreme weather events, including storms and floods, to protect crops and infrastructure.
• Water Management: Continue with water harvesting and conservation practices to manage variability and ensure a reliable water supply throughout the season.
• Stay Informed: Regularly monitor weather updates and forecasts to make informed decisions about planting, fertilization, and other agricultural activities.

In conclusion, while the beginning of the rainy season may present some challenges, the overall outlook for the 2024/2025 season is highly favorable. With proactive management and strategic planning, Zimbabwean farmers are well-positioned to benefit from the promising weather conditions and achieve a successful and productive growing season. The Meteorological Services Department will provide ongoing updates to support farmers and ensure they are equipped to navigate the season effectively.